Why East Midlands is not on red alert this heatwave

News imageHelen A thermometer in a gardenHelen
The temperatures have been rising, including in Hucknall, Nottinghamshire, but there's more to weather warnings than heat alone

As June temperature records tumble and England swelters in a heatwave, the Met Office has issued hot weather warnings across swathes of the country.

But while the South East has been put on red alert for extreme weather, up the road in the East Midlands most of us have been issued an amber warning.

Based on temperatures alone, the East Midlands' major cities Nottingham, Leicester and Derby, will see peak temperatures on a par with places in the red warning area.

So why has a line been drawn between the two regions?

News imageMet Office A map of the UK showing zones of weather alertsMet Office
Alerts have been issued across the UK - but there are decisions to be made about which areas get which level of alert

BBC forecasts show highs of 31C (87F) on Thursday and 33C (91F) on Friday in amber-coloured Nottingham and 32C (89F) and 33C in Leicester and Derby.

In the red zone, Oxford is forecast 33C and 32C, Luton 31C and 33C, and London 31C and 35C (95F) over the two remaining days of the warning.

The Met Office told the BBC "peak daytime temperatures in the East Midlands are comparable with some locations further south".

However it said the difference between amber and red extreme heat warnings cannot be determined with a thermometer alone but "a combination of severity and confidence of impacts".

News imageuWhoAndyR cows laying down in a sunny fielduWhoAndyR
It's not just humans feeling the heat in Tissington, Derbyshire

A spokesperson for the national weather service explained: "Even relatively small differences in peak temperatures, overnight minima, humidity and duration can lead to meaningful differences, which is why neighbouring areas can fall into different warning categories."

The Met Office said on average, the daytime peaks in the red zone were trending a few degrees higher overall "particularly at the peak of the event".

It said while Nottinghamshire had just experienced its hottest night on record, warm nights had been "more persistent" in the south giving the areas less chance to recover from the heat.

Humidity levels too are higher in the South East, it added, "increasing heat stress".

Add to that the heat in the South East has been, if only slightly, more intense and longer lasting "which compounds impacts over time".

News imagescrappy A flower in a gardenscrappy
The sun is shining on gardens in Kegworth, Leicestershire

But regardless of the colour of the alert, residents are being urged not to take the weather lightly, and that while some of the worst is less likely, the East Midlands should still expect "significant impacts".

"Both Amber and Red warnings indicate a risk of widespread impacts, and people across all affected areas should continue to take the conditions seriously," a spokesperson said.

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