China na son kawo ƙarshen yaƙin Iran amma ba yadda Amurka ke so ba

Kwanaki kaɗan kafin muhimmiyar ziyarar da shugaban China, Xi Jinping, ya kai Amurka, Beijing ta karɓi baƙuncin ministan harkokin wajen Iran, Abbas Araghchi, wani mataki da ake gani a matsayin alamar tasirin China kan Tehran.

Yaƙin Iran na daga cikin manyan batutuwan da suka kasance a agendar tattaunawar shugabannin Amurka Donald Trump da Xi Jinping a ranar Alhamis.

Tun bayan fara yaƙin Iran watanni bakwai da suka gabata, China ta ci gaba da riƙe matsayi guda kan rikicin.

Ta yi Allah-wadai da hare-haren da Amurka da Isra'ila suka kai wa Iran, tare da sukar takunkuman da Washington ta ƙaƙaba wa Tehran.

A lokaci guda kuma, ta sha yin kira da a kawo ƙarshen rikicin, musamman ma sake buɗe mashigar Hormuz.

Saboda tarin man fetur da take da shi da kuma manufarta ta rarraba hanyoyin samun makamashi, China ta samu damar rage tasirin da yaƙin Iran ya yi kan tattalin arzikinta.

Masanin hulɗar Sin da Gabas ta Tsakiya a Jami'ar Exeter, Andrea Ghiselli, ya ce China na iya ci gaba da jure wa halin da ake ciki na wani lokaci, amma matsin da yaƙin ya sanya mata zai ci gaba da ƙaruwa.

Sai dai ya ce dole ne China ta nemo daidaito tsakanin burinta na ganin an kawo ƙarshen yaƙin da kuma sauran manufofinta na siyasa da dabarun hulɗar ƙasa da ƙasa.

"China ba ta son wannan rikici ya zama wani abin saɓani a dangantakarta da Amurka," in ji Dakta Ghiselli, "amma kuma ba za ta yi abin da zai tauye muhimman muradu da matsayar Iran ba."

Ya ƙara da cewa, "Iran da China suna da kusanci sosai a ra'ayi, kuma suna kallon matakan da Amurka da Isra'ila suka ɗauka a matsayin abin da ya haddasa wannan rikici har zuwa yau."

Makamashi da tattalin arziki

A cewar Hamidreza Azizi na ƙungiyar International Crisis Group, a matsayinta na ƙasar da ke amfani da makamashi mai yawa, tana fuskantar illa sakamakon ci gaba da yaƙin.

Wani rahoto da Hukumar Bayanan Makamashi ta Amurka (EIA) ta fitar a shekarar 2025 ya nuna cewa man fetur na samar da kusan kashi ɗaya cikin biyar na makamashin da China ke amfani da shi.

Kuma fiye da kashi 70 cikin 100 na man fetur ɗin da take amfani da shi ana shigo da shi ne daga ƙasashen waje.

A bara, man fetur da ta saya daga Iran ya kai kusan ganga miliyan 1.4 a kowace rana, wanda ya kai kashi 12 cikin 100 kacal na ɗanyen man fetur da ta shigar da shi ƙasarta.

Wannan adadi ya yi ƙasa sosai idan aka kwatanta da sauran ƙasashen Gabas ta Tsakiya, waɗanda suka samar da kashi 42 cikin 100 na man fetur ɗin da China ta shigar cikinta.

China ta samu damar rage giɓin da ya samo asali daga raguwar man fetur daga Iran da wasu ƙasashen yankin Tekun Fasha ta hanyar ƙara shigar da mai daga Rasha da Brazil da kuma wasu ƙasashen da ke fitar da man fetur.

Sai dai masana na cewa maye gurbin iskar gas da China ke saya daga yankin Gabas ta Tsakiya zai kasance abu mai matuƙar wahala idan rikicin ya ci gaba.

Babban tanadin man fetur da China ke da shi ya ba ƙasar damar rage tasirin matsalar makamashin da yaƙin ya haifar.

Yawan wannan tanadi na man fetur sirrin gwamnati ne, sai dai hasashe ya nuna cewa a shekarar 2025 yana tsakanin ganga biliyan 1 zuwa biliyan 1.4.

"Idan har China ta fara wannan yaƙi tana da tanadin ganga biliyan 1.4 na man fetur, hakan zai wadatar mata na tsawon kwanaki 254 na shigo da man daga Gabas ta Tsakiya bisa matakan shekarar 2025," in ji Erica Downs, wata ƙwararriya kan makamashin China a Jami'ar Columbia da ke Amurka.

Ta ƙara da cewa tanadin man na China na iya ɗorewa fiye da haka, domin har yanzu wasu daga cikin kayayyakin man da take shigo da su daga Gabas ta Tsakiya na ci gaba da isa duk da yaƙin.

Sai dai a cewar Clyde Russell, marubucin kamfanin dillancin labarai na Reuters da ya ƙware kan harkokin kayayyakin masarufi a Asiya, China ta riƙa amfani da tanadin man fetur ɗinta a cikin watanni uku daga cikin huɗun da suka gabata, ciki har da watan Agusta.

"Dole ne Beijing ta fi son dakatar da rage wannan tanadi da wuri-wuri domin sake gina wani isasshen kariya ga kanta idan wata matsala ta taso," in ji Dakta Downs.

Masana sun kuma yi gargaɗin cewa idan mayaƙan Houthi masu samun goyon bayan Iran suka ƙara tsananta hare-harensu kan Saudiyya tare da ƙarfafa ikon da suke da shi a mashigar ruwa ta Bab el-Mandeb, kasuwar makamashi ta duniya za ta iya fuskantar ƙarin rashin tabbas.

Takunkumai, toshe tasoshin ruwa da tattaunawa

Yayin da yaƙin ke ci gaba da ɗaukar lokaci, gwamnatin Shugaba Donald Trump na ƙara tsananta matsin tattalin arziƙi kan Tehran.

Washington ta yi gargaɗin cewa kamfanoni da bankuna, da kuma ƙasashen da ke taimakawa tattalin arziƙin Iran, na iya fuskantar ƙarin takunkuman da Amurka ke ƙaƙaba wa masu hulɗa da Iran.

Ya zuwa yanzu dai Amurka ta kauce wa ɗaukar mataki kan manyan bankunan ƙasar China, duk da cewa ta sanya wa wasu kamfanoni da hukumomin ƙasar takunkumi.

Ana ganin wannan taka-tsantsan na da nasaba da yadda takaddamar kasuwanci tsakanin Washington da Beijing ke ci gaba da ƙamari.

Ita kuwa Beijing ba ta fito fili ta amince da buƙatar Washington na shiga yaƙin matsin tattalin arziƙi da ake yi wa Iran ba.

China ta ce tana adawa da abin da ta kira "takunkumi na bai ɗaya da ba su dace da doka ba", tana mai jaddada cewa hulɗarta da Iran na gudana ne bisa tsarin dokokin ƙasa da ƙasa.

A cewar masanin harkokin Iran Hamidreza Azizi, bai kamata China ta daina sayen man fetur daga Iran saboda matsin lambar Amurka ba.

"Ƴan China ba sa son a kafa wata al'ada da za ta bai wa Amurka damar amfani da matsin lamba wajen tilasta wa kamfanoni da bankunan China aiwatar da manufofinta," in ji shi.

Sai dai toshe tasoshin jiragen ruwan Iran da Amurka ke yi ta yi matuƙar takaita ikon Iran na kai wa masu sayen man fetur a China hajarta.

A watan Maris, Iran na fitar da ganga miliyan biyu na man fetur a kullum, amma adadin ya ragu zuwa tsakanin ganga 220,000 da 255,000 a rana a watan Agusta.

Haka kuma, a cewar kamfanin dillancin labarai na Reuters, babu wani jirgin da ya yi nasarar kai ɗanyen man Iran zuwa China ta mashigar Hormuz tun bayan da Amurka ta sake kafa katangar ruwanta a ranar 14 ga Yuli.

Masanin harkokin Iran a Jami'ar George Washington da ke Amurka, Mohammad Ghaedi, ya ce idan wannan datsewa ta ci gaba, kasuwanci tsakanin Iran da China zai koma ne ta hanyoyin tudu, waɗanda suka fi tsada kuma ba su da inganci idan aka kwatanta da jigilar kaya ta ruwa.

Ya ƙara da cewa, duk da cewa China na nuna shirinta na rage tasirin takunkuman kuɗi da ake ƙaƙaba wa Iran, hakan ba ya nufin tana da ƙarfin iko ko kuma niyyar ƙalubalantar datsewar tasoshin ruwan.

A cewarsa, yunƙurin hana toshewar zai iya janyo China cikin wata babbar gaba da Amurka mai girman da ya bambanta da taƙaddamar da ake yi a yanzu, kuma babu wata alama da ke nuna shugabannin China a shirye suke su ɗauki irin wannan nauyi.

Babban hoto daga Raees Hussain

Mun yi amfani da fasahar AI wajen fassara labarin, wanda asalinsa daga harshen Turanci ne. Ma'aikacin BBC ya duba ya sake diuba shi da kyau kafin wallafa shi.