Summary

  • The first round result in the Greater Manchester mayoral by-election is expected to be announced soon

  • The mood in the Co-op Live arena in Manchester is that voting will go to a second round, according to our producer there

  • Voters in all 10 boroughs of the ceremonial county took to the polls on Thursday to decide who will replace now-Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who stood down from the role following his election as an MP last month

  • It represents the first electoral test for Labour under Burnham - and in the prime minister's own back yard, our reporter at the count writes

  • Voter turnout for this by-election is just over 25% - the lowest since Burnham became the first mayor elected to the role in 2017

  • Seven candidates are standing in the contest - whoever wins will become the second person ever elected to the role, one of the most powerful in English politics

  1. Candidates called to the stage ahead of first-round result declarationpublished at 18:06 BST

    The mayoral candidates are making their way to the stage, where the returning officer will read out their votes.

    Under the supplementary voting system being used in this by-election, if no one receives more than 50%, the top two candidates will go into a run-off, in which second preference votes from the eliminated candidates are counted.

    We will bring you the result of the first count as it comes.

  2. Candidates could query the result if the count is closepublished at 18:04 BST

    Rowan Bridge
    North of England reporter at Manchester's Co-op Live arena

    Podium on empty stage at count centre for Greater Manchester mayoral electionImage source, Pool

    There’s a delay at the moment, but then we’re told the candidates will all be called in and given the results of the first round of voting.

    If they are happy then we’ll hear who has won, (if someone has more than 50% of the vote) or who the top two candidates are (if no one reaches that threshold).

    It’s possible they could query the result - if the count is close for example. That could potentially lead to a recount.

    We’ll all just have to wait and see.

  3. Official apologises for 'delays in process', as candidates wait for first-round resultspublished at 17:59 BST

    We're still waiting on a result to be declared after the first round of counting.

    Tom Stannard, the chief executive of Manchester City Council, has just taken to the stage, apologising for "delays in the process".

    He says they're still waiting for final approval to carry out a consultation on the provisional results, and asks staff, candidates and agents for "forbearance".

    When the first round of counting is ultimately declared, you'll be able to watch live at the top of the page.

    As we've reported, indications are this contest will go to a second round of counting because it’s not expected that any one candidate will get more than 50% of the vote.

    Under the supplementary voting system, the top two candidates will go into a run-off, in which second preference votes from the eliminated candidates are counted.

  4. Mood in Manchester that election will go to second roundpublished at 17:36 BST

    Michaela Howard
    North of England senior producer

    The candidates in the Greater Manchester mayoral election have been called to a room here at the Co-op Live arena.

    The mood here is that this election will go to a second round of vote counting.

    This election has used supplementary voting meaning people could chose a first and second preference on the ballot paper.

    What happens next? An announcement will be made on stage of the names of the two candidates who are going through to the next round of counting.

    Its unclear how long it will take to count the second round of votes.

  5. Labour MP says it's looking 'really positive' for party's candidatepublished at 17:19 BST

    Kevin Fitzpatrick
    Political reporter for Greater Manchester

    Labour MP for Stretford and Urmston, Andrew Western, says he’s confident their candidate, Bev Craig, will be in the top two when the first round of counting is complete.

    “We’re still on the first round of counting so quite a way to go yet but it looks really positive for Bev so far, we're really pleased with what we're seeing," he tells me.

    He adds that Craig has run "a really positive campaign" and is "head and above" the other candidates with her experience as leader of Manchester City Council and working as Deputy Mayor with Andy Burnham.

    Labour MP for Stretford and Urmston, Andrew Western, has short brown hair and is wearing a navy suit with a pink tie
  6. Count finished in Manchester, but we are still waiting for a resultpublished at 17:06 BST

    Michaela Howard
    North of England senior producer

    People sitting at counting tables in an arena.

    Counting of the ballots has finished here at the Co-op Live Arena where the results of the Greater Manchester mayoral by-election are expected to be announced at some point today.

    But there are still a few boroughs that haven't finished counting.

    Here they've been totting up votes for the Manchester City region.

    There's lots of chatting on the floor between those who have been counting the votes, some are scrolling on phones, while others are turning pages of books.

    Snacks are still being consumed - the punnet of mini muffins and flapjacks is slowly going down.

  7. Lowest Greater Manchester mayor vote turnout ever, here's a breakdown of turnout resultspublished at 16:36 BST

    While we wait for the first declaration to be announced, here are the full turnout results for each of the 10 councils in Greater Manchester:

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  8. While Labour has often won elections across the city region, the party's level of support has variedpublished at 16:07 BST

    Prof Andrew Russell
    University of Liverpool

    Only the prime minister and the mayor of London have more power in English politics than the mayor of Greater Manchester.

    Labour's candidate to replace Andy Burnham is the current leader of Manchester City Council, Bev Craig.

    While Craig is relatively well known in the city, she faces a tougher task in the other nine boroughs of Greater Manchester.

    While Labour has often won elections across the city region, the party's level of support has varied.

    For instance, at a time when Labour held 95 of 96 council seats on Manchester City Council, eight of the 10 Greater Manchester boroughs voted leave in the 2016 Brexit referendum.

    This may well give hope to Reform UK, for example.

    Craig, who has led the city council since 2021, has filled big shoes before. Her predecessor, Sir Richard Leese, was in charge for more than a quarter of a century, taking in an era including Britpop, the 2002 Commonwealth Games and the soaring city skyscape.

  9. Rumours first declaration will come soon, but this could still be a long onepublished at 15:46 BST

    Annabel Tiffin
    At Manchester's Co-op Live Arena

    VOte count at Co-op Live Arena

    I’ve certainly watched more interesting events at the Co-op live Arena.

    While we await the declaration of the first-choice vote there are just a lot of people standing around looking a bit bored.

    There doesn’t even seem to be a lot of counting going on.

    But things could be about to get exciting. There are rumours that the first declaration will come at 16:00 BST.

    So, could we know who the new Mayor of Greater Manchester is then?

    Probably not.

    All indications are this contest will go to a second round of counting because it’s not expected that any one candidate will get more than 50% of the vote.

    Stay with us, this looks likely to be a long one.

  10. What powers does the mayor of Greater Manchester hold?published at 15:39 BST

    In Greater Manchester, the mayor automatically exercises the functions of the police and crime commissioner (PCC) for the region, which is why they can't also be an MP.

    The mayor is also responsible for the fire and rescue service and has oversight over local transport plans, responsibility for some skills and adult education and governance of a number of local health commissioning budgets.

    They are paid an annual salary of £118,267, which is higher than other regional mayors owing to the PCC responsibilities.

    Media caption,

    What powers does the Greater Manchester mayor have?

  11. A brief history of the Greater Manchester mayoraltypublished at 15:12 BST

    We've just reported on the turnout being the lowest since Andy Burnham became the first elected Greater Manchester Mayor in 2017. The role of an elected mayor of the Greater Manchester region was announced in 2014 by then Chancellor George Osborne.

    The announcement came two years after people in the city of Manchester voted against having an elected mayor, with the decision to have a regional or metropolitan mayor being directly negotiated between the government and the 10 Greater Manchester councils.

    The role was ultimately created as part of a law passed in 2016, one of a number of big pieces of devolution legislation brought in by the Conservatives after taking power in 2010.

    Andy Burnham, who left Parliament to stand for the role, was chosen as Labour's candidate for the first mayoral election in 2017 and won, taking 63.4% of the vote.

    He went on to fight and win two more mayoral election contests - in 2021 and 2024. He increased his vote to 67.3% in 2021, and polled 63.4% in 2024.

  12. We need to hold next mayor to account, Lib Dem candidate sayspublished at 14:55 BST

    Kevin Fitzpatrick
    Political reporter for Greater Manchester

    Man in suit in arena concourse

    Liberal Democrat candidate, Richard Kilpatrick, says he doesn't think he's won but is happy with the campaign he ran. The Manchester city councillor doesn’t expect to be in the top two, should the contest go to a second round of voting.

    "Where we have a strong base, where we have strong local champions and campaigners in our communities, it's very clear that we've done really well in those areas," he says.

    "Affordability was the number-one issue that came across to us on the doorstep, so we need to make sure that we, regardless of the result of this election, that we're there leading the charge and holding the next mayor to account.”

  13. Analysis

    Why was the turnout so low?published at 14:50 BST

    Rowan Bridge
    North of England reporter at Manchester's Co-op Live arena

    There are any number of factors that could have been in play.

    First, voter fatigue may have set in. For some places - Gorton and Denton, the Makerfield constituency - it’s the third time they’ve been asked to vote this year when you add in May’s local elections too.

    There is also the question of how much people were aware - or cared - about the election itself. Some of the mayors powers, like strategic planning, aren’t the sort of areas Joe and Jane Average get excited about.

    If you don’t really care about, or understand, the issues in hand, why bother?

    And it could be that people just didn’t find the candidates inspiring. None of them had the profile and name recognition of Andy Burnham when he first ran for the job, nor the sort of profile he built in the role.

  14. Lowest turnout since first Greater Manchester mayoral election in 2017published at 14:31 BST

    This year's turnout is the lowest of the four Greater Manchester mayoral elections since the role of an elected mayor for the region was created.

    The second lowest came in 2017's election, when the turnout was 29%, and when Andy Burnham voted in as mayor for the first time.

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  15. Voter turnout just over 25%published at 14:13 BST
    Breaking

    We’ve just got the figures through for the number of people who turned out to vote in the election.

    There were 538,659 verified ballots cast across Greater Manchester, that's out of 2,142,779 eligible to take part.

    That works out at just over one in four people voting - 25.14%.

    The last mayoral election in 2024 had a turnout of almost one in three - 32.05%. So turnout is down by about seven percentage points.

  16. New mayor will only be second person elected to the rolepublished at 13:53 BST

    Andy Burnham speaks after winning the Greater Manchester mayoral election in 2017Image source, get
    Image caption,

    Andy Burnham speaks after winning the Greater Manchester mayoral election in 2017

    Whoever is elected today will only be the second person to have been voted in as the mayor of Greater Manchester.

    Andy Burnham was voted in as mayor in 2017, and then again in 2021 and 2024.

    The role was announced in 2014 as part of the then Conservative-Liberal Democrats coalition government, which said it would help to "create a Northern Powerhouse to maximise the economic potential of the north".

    Before Burnham was elected, the role was held by ex-Labour MP Tony Lloyd, who was appointed to the job on an interim basis after it was first created in 2015.

  17. The boroughs that took part in the ballotpublished at 13:30 BST

    Residents across Greater Manchester were eligible to vote in the election for the new mayor of the city region.

    This includes people living in all 10 boroughs - Bolton, Bury, Manchester, Oldham, Rochdale, Salford, Stockport, Tameside, Trafford and Wigan.

    Individuals had to be registered to vote as a local government elector in one of the 10 areas and be 18 or over on the day of the election.

    Map of Greater Manchester showing its 10 metropolitan boroughs. Wigan lies in the west, Bolton in the north-west, Bury in the north, Rochdale in the north-east and Oldham in the east. Manchester sits near the centre-south, with Salford immediately to the west, Trafford to the south-west, Tameside to the east and Stockport in the south-east. Borough boundaries are shown within the Greater Manchester boundary outlined in red. An inset map highlights Greater Manchester's location within England.
  18. A closer look at the candidatespublished at 13:10 BST

    Blonde-haired Sian Astley, wearing a white top, speaks to the cameraImage source, Reform UK

    Sian Astley, Reform UK: Astley represents the Baguley ward on the Manchester City Council and said she had been a Labour voter in the past, adding that "the vice-like grip the party has held over Manchester has been evident for decades".

    A woman with grey bobbed hair and black glasses wearing a dark blazer. She is outdoors with greenery behind her and smiling.Image source, Green Party

    Geraldine Coggins, Green Party: Coggins, a councillor for Trafford since 2018, is a published academic with a background in leadership, public finance and strategic decision-making. She has pledged to improve transport, housing and choose "people and planet over profits".

    Bev Craig has short red hair, and is wearing glasses and a white jacket over a black blouseImage source, Labour Party

    Bev Craig, Labour: As well as leading Manchester City Council, Craig is the deputy mayor for economy, business and inclusive growth on the region's combined authority. She said Greater Manchester changed her life, adding "I've spent my career trying to give something back".

    Phil Eckersley has greying blond hair and a beard. He is smiling while photographed wearing a blue t-shirt and a blue Conservative rosette.Image source, Trafford Conservatives

    Phil Eckersley, Conservative: Eckersley currently represents Bowdon ward on Trafford Council, where he is his party's deputy leader and shadow executive member for health and care.

    Marcus Farmer has brown hair with grey temples and wears a blue anorak with orange lining and a grey scarf.

    Marcus Farmer, Independent: Farmer is standing in his third Greater Manchester mayoral election. The businessman came sixth out of nine candidates in 2021, receiving just under 1% of the vote with 6,448 votes.

    A close up of Richard. He has curly brown hair and is wearing a pair of glasses, a check shirt, and is smiling.Image source, Liberal Democrats

    Richard Kilpatrick, Liberal Democrats: Kilpatrick, a former teacher who has been a councillor in the Didsbury area since 2018, has pledged to "tackle the cost of living crisis, improve public services and deliver desperately needed housing for the region".

    Marlon West, who has grey hair and is wearing a navy blue suit over a white shirt and blue tie, smiles into the camera.Image source, Restore Britain

    Marlon West, Restore Britain: A former mental health nurse, West became a prominent activist on the issue of child grooming gangs after his daughter, Scarlett, was targeted and raped, and the pair published a book on their experiences.

  19. Remind me, why is there a Greater Manchester mayoral by-election?published at 12:49 BST

    Andy Burnham at the result of the Makerfield by-election in June, stood beside Count Binface and an individual dressed as a furry fox.Image source, Reuters
    Image caption,

    Andy Burnham at the result of the Makerfield by-election in June

    The Greater Manchester mayoral election was triggered by the resignation of Andy Burnham after his victory in the Makerfield by-election last month.

    The victory gave him a seat in the House of Commons, which he used to become prime minister following Keir Starmer's resignation.

    By law, an MP cannot sit in the Commons and hold a metropolitan mayor role that has powers over local policing.

    This means Burnham had to stand down after being elected in Makerfield in June.

    Burnham became the city region's first directly elected mayor in 2017 and went on to secure two further terms in office.

  20. Sweets, knitting and e-readers out as counters set in for the long-haulpublished at 12:29 BST

    Michaela Howard
    North of England senior producer

    Verification has finished here for Manchester City council’s count but they are waiting for the other boroughs to finish theirs.

    Those here to count the votes, are prepared for the long haul as the result isn’t expected until this afternoon. The counters appear to be experience at this – they are prepared for the down time.

    Packets of sweets open on a table with counters in the background.

    Some knitting has been out, the fresh pages of a book have been turned and e-readers are being used to pass the time.

    One table has a selection of bags of sweets across the front, some packets already opened and tucked into.

    People sitting or standing near counting tables in the arena.