Justin Webb's America

Defying predictions

• Justin Webb
• 4 Feb 08, 04:45 AM GMT

Anyone predicting anything with any degree of certainty for Tuesday was not in New Hampshire. Here is the best analysis I have seen of the whole thing. I know it is all about delegates now, but it also is not: the magic of winning counts for something. If Hillary or Barack wins California and New York, the wind will be in their sails even if the delegate count is close.

The Obama advert midway through the Super Bowl was audacious but statesmanlike: he could have dressed like a footballer and looked goofy but was well advised not to.

Meanwhile, a reminder that your parents have the capacity to embarrass you even when you are in your seventies. It will have no effect on the race, but John McCain's mum has done it again, suggesting that party members will hold their noses when they back him (she actually holds her own to make the point). She is wonderful: I hope she talks to the BBC soon...

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